Bailout financial oligarchs, now every Tom, Dick & Saudi wants welfare

Stacy Summary:   You bailout one class of oligarchs (the bankers) and every oligarch and monarch in town is coming looking for handouts!

Saudi Arabia has led a quiet campaign during these and other negotiations — demanding behind closed doors that oil-producing nations get special financial assistance if a new climate pact calls for substantial reductions in the use of fossil fuels.

That campaign comes despite an International Energy Agency report released this week showing that OPEC revenues would still increase $23 trillion between 2008 and 2030 — a fourfold increase compared to the period from 1985 to 2007 — if countries agree to significantly slash emissions and thereby cut their use of oil. That is the limit most countries agree is needed to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.

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[Video] Robert Fisk responds to the denials of ‘dollar demise’ report

Stacy Summary: Good stuff.

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Golden Jibber Jabber – Day 3

Stacy Summary:  Another day?!  Gold:  1059.10

Gold:  1056.20

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[1066] The Truth About Markets – 07 October 2009

Stacy Summary:  The Truth About Markets, New Zealand.

For more download and listening options visit Archive dot org

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Golden jibber jabber – day two

Stacy Summary:  Can’t believe it’s another day like this.

Morning gold

Price updates: 1047.60, 1043.30, 1041.80

Place your bets:  High price?  Closing price?

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EU to get a personality

Stacy Summary: . . . and that personality will be headed by Tony Blair . . . ?

A letter conferring a full “legal personality” for the Union has been drafted in order for a new European diplomatic service to be recognised as fully fledged negotiators by international bodies and all non-EU countries.

According to one confidential paper, the first pilot “embassies” are planned in New York, Kabul and Addis Ababa.

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[Video] Max Keiser – Dollar to be buried by 2018

Stacy Summary: Haven’t even had a chance to watch this yet myself, going to do it now!

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[Video] Robert Fisk on the Gulf ‘ditching the dollar’ in oil trade

Stacy Summary:  H/t @WL. Note that Stephen King, chief economist of HSBC is in this clip. HSBC of course has recently practically abandoned the US and UK for Asia. The host says, “It’s a New World Order!”

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Golden jibber jabber

Stacy Summary:  Jibber jabber about gold.  My view is that the market would not have responded as it has done this morning if it were not of any consequence that oil should be priced in dollars.  Whether or not Fisk’s report is accurate, however, is another matter.

Price updates1036.30, 1036.60, 1036.80, 1043.20, 1038.90

Place your bets:  At what price does profit taking begin, ie, how high does it get today?  And what will the closing price be?  And for the bonanza bet, at what time does it hit its high today?

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Australia raises rates; Deflation threat? What deflation threat?

Stacy Summary:  Will be interesting to see what happens in Australia . . .

The governor of the central bank, Glenn Stevens, said that the move was “prudent” after recent economic data suggested that “the risk of serious economic contraction” had passed.

I think it is likely that the RBA will achieve far more than it intends. The last time the RBA put rates up to attempt to control an asset price bubble that was already out of hand was back in 1989. That exacerbated the economic downturn that was already in train as the debt bubble of the 1980s started to collapse. I expect the outcome of this rate rise will be similar: a downturn that is already in train as a debt bubble bursts will be made worse by this increase in rates at a time of greatly heightened financial fragility.

The problem this time is I believe far worse than 1990. Then the household sector had a relatively low level of debt–the mortgage debt to GDP ratio was a comparatively trivial 18 percent, compared to its now record level of 87.5%. It was therefore possible for the financial sector to lend willy-nilly to households, something neoclassical economists facilitated by their enthusiastic deregulation of the financial sector.

The deflation “recognition phase” has finally arrived. Kroger foods, Costco, and Walmart are blaming deflation for a drop in earnings. Moreover, many high profile names are discussing deflation, something most thought could never happen.

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China, Russia, France & Gulf oil producers plot demise of the dollar

Stacy Summary:  Thanks all who sent this to me and posted in comments!  Yes, this is the most important story I have read in all the years that Max and I have been making films about the Death of the Dollar.  And it is because the author of the article, Robert Fisk, who will not only be very well connected in the region, doesn’t often (if ever) write about finance or commodities, he’s not going to have any particular position to promote.

Stacy:  Here’s the money quote from Fisk’s article.  To me, it sounds like China is vocally drawing a line in the sand.  After this, I don’t think there can possibly be any carpet bombing of Iran where China has major oil investments.

Against the background to these currency meetings, Sun Bigan, China’s former special envoy to the Middle East, has warned there is a risk of deepening divisions between China and the US over influence and oil in the Middle East. “Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable,” he told the Asia and Africa Review. “We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.

Stacy: Fisk’s conclusion sounds an awful lot like some statements in Death of the Dollar made in 2006.

Iran announced late last month that its foreign currency reserves would henceforth be held in euros rather than dollars. Bankers remember, of course, what happened to the last Middle East oil producer to sell its oil in euros rather than dollars. A few months after Saddam Hussein trumpeted his decision, the Americans and British invaded Iraq.

At the time we made Death of the Dollar 2, I spoke to an oil analyst at a major oil research firm who told me that pricing oil in dollars wouldn’t matter if it were only Iraq or only Venezuela, for example; it would only matter, he said, if all nations move away from pricing in dollars. This opinion is echoed in Death of the Dollar 2 by Dr. Manouchehr Takin, former Senior Officer at OPEC, who says if oil were traded in other currencies but the dollar, then, of course, it would mean there would be less demand for dollars. Dr. Gerard Lyons, Chief Economist at Standard Chartered, also points out that they were advising Gulf nations to move away from the dollar and what the implications then would be for both the Gulf and the US. And then Dr. Paul Craig Roberts talks about the ‘exorbitant privilege’ and why it is important. And I am quite certain you could find headlines from early 1900′s through 1945 as sterling was losing its status as reserve currency. (It’s a multi-decade volatile process . . . but today no other single nation wants to take on the mantle of reserve status for along with the ‘exorbitant privilege’ comes apparently the ‘exorbitant burden’ of deficits).

Just as the US demonstrates overwhelming force against tiny nations like Haiti, Honduras or Cuba when they exhibit the smallest sign of defiance or independence, so too the US does the same with Middle East countries. It is not that they matter in any but the smallest of trade with the US, it is the precedence of defiance and independence that the US tries to nip in the bud before it spreads. It’s like Guiliani’s ‘broken window’ shock and awe policing.

The Original Death of the Dollar:

Death of the Dollar, Part 2 (stay tuned til the last few seconds when Max whistles in the graveyard!):

Updates:    Gold 1026.90 1028.60 1030.10 1035.60

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Tipping point in the Twilight Zone

Stacy Summary:  If we are at the tipping point as described in the first headline story, then look for statistics (as per Mish’s second headline story) to enter deeper and deeper into the Twilight Zone .  ..

HSBC forecast emerging nations will dominate world economic activity in the years ahead.

A key reason is the debt burden of the developed world. Recent policy may have stabilized financial markets in the West, says HSBC, but individuals and governments remain awash in debt. Banks no longer enjoy the funding conditions of old, and this will combine to be a drag on growth.

With home prices crashing year-over-year and both housing rents and apartment rents droping as well one might think that falling rents would be reflected in the CPI.  (Stacy – you’d be wrong)

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Off Topic & Jibber Jabber

Stacy Summary:  Holy cow you guys can jabber!  Here’s a new entry for links, off topic, etc.

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More paying for the past & present crimewave of banking welfare queens

Stacy Summary:  I thought cornering the market was supposed to be illegal?  But, unless it is frequent commodities manipulator, Goldman Sachs, who have unlimited printing ability and the world’s most powerful government at its command, I think it is a dangerous (to the taxpayer anyway) game for anyone else.  How much you want to bet that we will have to pay for it if some banker blows this thing up?  Re: the levy on banks to pay for future crises, the first paragraph says it all about how bankers operate as spoiled welfare queens – just the threat that the taxpayer might not pay for their next catastrophe is enough to get them to behave themselves?

The threat alone of such a levy ought to act as a deterrent against reckless behaviour, he argued, as bankers would know that in the event of failure, it would be ultimately the residual banking system, not taxpayers, picking up the bill.

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