Tag Archives: bailout

Call me a prophet of doom if you want, but Europe’s meltdown isn’t a recession – it’s a coming depression

By Mitch Feierstein 

Those financial forecasters, like myself, who take a generally dark view of world affairs are known by a number of monikers: prophets of doom, killjoys, pessimists, Cassandras. And that last one is interesting.

Cassandra, in ancient Greek myth, was the daughter of King Priam of Troy. After Helen, she was considered the most beautiful woman on earth. Curly red hair, blue eyes, fair skin. (I know: she sounds more Irish than Turkish, but work with me.) Because of her beauty, the god Apollo fell in love with her and gave her the gift of prophecy. When she did not return his love – always a dangerous game when dating a god – he cursed her, ensuring no one would ever believe her prophecies. Continue reading →

Letting Greece Twist In The Wind

With impeccable timing, it seeped out that a group of experts at the German Finance Ministry is studying ways to deal with a Greek exit from the Eurozone. A spokesperson clarified helpfully on Friday, rather than denying it, that the group has been in existence for over a year. Impeccable timing because it happened as Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras was arriving in Berlin for his begging expedition. German Chancellor Angela Merkel must have smiled. The heat was on.

For that whole debacle, read…. Letting Greece Twist In The Wind

Euro Optimism Surges, A Greek Tax Revolt Flares Up: It’s Decision Time, Again

Euro optimism is once again gushing through the system on the hope that the debt crisis could be wished away with a nod by German Chancellor Angela Merkel or with a wink by the Bundesbank at the European Central Bank, which is dying to print unlimited amounts of moolah to buy sovereign bonds—and old bicycles, if it has to—in order to force yields down for debt-sinner countries like the US Spain and Italy. But in Greece there has been an incident.

For a debacle that taxpayers in other countries may have to pay for, read…. Euro Optimism Surges, A Greek Tax Revolt Flares Up: It’s Decision Time, Again

Nationalise the potentially insolvent RBS? Or Let them fail, you decide… It’s your money!

Solution? Business secretary Vince Cable has said he wants to nationalise the 18pc of RBS that isn't already owned by the taxpayer

Solution? Business secretary Vince Cable has said he wants to nationalise the 18pc of RBS that isn’t already owned by the taxpayer

Vince Cable wants to nationalise RBS. You can see his logic. The taxpayer owns 82% of the firm already. Nationalisation is hardly such a radical idea; it’s more the logical completion of a process.

It’s true that full nationalisation was never the advertised outcome. We were promised that these part-nationalised banks would be rapidly strengthened and restored to full private ownership.There were even muttered suggestions that the government could end up making a profit on its stake. Continue reading →

Too big to fail, too big to bail: Spain and Italy are too indebted for even Germany to rescue, so let’s just end the Euro currency!!

Another day, another faux bailout. Recently, European finance ministers agreed to let the Spanish banks get the first €30 billion slice of their bank bailout.

Those same finance ministers are also set to approve a year’s delay in the deadline given to Spain for reaching a budget deficit of 3% of GDP. That won’t, of course, be the last bailout for Spain and, please note, a budget deficit of 3% is still pushing debt ever upwards in acountry whose economy is getting smaller not bigger.

Unsurprisingly, government bond markets have once again been wildly unimpressed. Spanish bond yields briefly touched 7.76% , before falling back. Given that Spanish debt (according to the misleading official figures) is around 7.7% of GDP and rising fast, interest rates at this level mean that about 6 cents in every euro are going to pay the interest on that debt.

The costs of euro collapse will be huge, but those costs are coming anyway. And they only get bigger the longer you defer the moment of truth

Put another way, Spaniards have to work about three weeks a year, simply to pay off the interest they owe on the national debt. No wonder their economy is failing under the weight of that burden. No wonder unemployment is so extravagantly high.

It’s time to end this massive Ponzi Scheme. If the problem is too much debt, you don’t solve the problem by extending more debt. If the problem is banks with irresponsibly reckless lending practices, the solution is not to “gift” them more money. If the problem is a wildly uncontrolled money supply, you don’t solve that problem by printing money until the presses are smoking hot.

A Ponzi Scheme is any merry-go-round fraud where you have to keep pulling new idiots into your scheme to keep things going. It’s the economics of the chain-letter. People can sometimes make money, but only if the supply of idiots is big enough. These things always collapse – and collapse disastrously – in the end.

We’re near that point now. Spain can’t receive a Greek-style bailout: all the EU rescue funds combined don’t have the resources to do it. Even if Germany decided to do all it could, the scale of these debts would simply overwhelm Germany’s (already very indebted) economy. In any case, if the fairies came and Spain were rescued, the pressure on Italy would soon become almost overwhelming. And though France hasn’t been hitting the headlines recently, it has higher debt than Spain, a history of deficits and a huge banking sector with vast exposure to Spain, Italy and Greece.

So why not let’s just call it a day? For Spain. For Italy. For the single currency failure know as the Euro. For this whole misconceived and duplicitous Ponzi Scheme. The costs of euro collapse will be huge, but those costs are coming anyway. And they only get bigger the longer you defer the moment of truth.

David Cameron wants to hold a referendum on Europe sometime after the next election. But he’d better get on with it. Europe, in its current form, doesn’t have that long to live.

Mitch Feierstein is CEO of Glacier Environmental Fund and author of Planet Ponzi: How bankers and politicians stole your future

‘Capitalists’ Around the World Celebrate the Biggest Bailout in History! [UPDATED]

Stacy Summary:    I always love it how over the past two years, markets grow euphoric on any state intervention in the market.  Probably a good time to offload some euros in the next few days . . . (btw, if you have lots of euros, I would buy German assets for when the euro currency dissolves; you might want to be converted back into Deutsche mark rather than franc, drachma, peso or lira).

UPDATE(S):