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Silver vigilantes

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HSBC says sun is setting on the dollar [Updated]

Stacy Summary:  H/t @Mike/Liverpool for the article.  Of course, HSBC has been talking about this for the past few years and they are no doubt right for the medium to long term; but, in the short term, this headline is probably a contrarian indicator.  Right now, bullish sentiment on the dollar is at only 3% which is lower than where it was just before the dollar turned around last year and rallied ferociously.

“The whole picture of risk-reward for emerging market currencies has changed. It is not so much that they have risen to our standards, it is that we have fallen to theirs. It used to be that sovereign risk was mainly an emerging market issue but the events of the last year have shown that this is no longer the case. Look at the UK – debt is racing up to 100pc of GDP,” he said

Update: Video on dollar carry trade that might interest you.

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Headlines, Headlines, Headlines – 14 April 2009 [Updated]

Stacy Summary: Another day, another headline outlining the devastating consequences of monopoly and monoculture. First the ‘too big to fail’ banks wiped out the financial system, now the identikit towns across the UK (and US no doubt) are threatening the spread of ‘ghost towns.’

Updates:

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Headlines, Headlines, Headlines: 25 March 2009

Of course, we have been talking about this since the original Death of the Dollar in 2006 and earlier on Resonance FM.

HSBC conceded yesterday that its purchase of Household International, the US sub-prime lender, had been a $15 billion blunder and would continue to drain the bank’s resources for another two years.

The full scale of the disaster was laid out for shareholders as the bank unveiled plans for a £12.5 billion rights issue to shore up its balance sheet.

Foreigners ain’t going to return to the US market for a long, long time.  Obama, Geithner, Bernanke and Summers can toss all the dosh they want at their cronies on Wall Street, no bank anywhere in the world is going to ever buy any debt related to or collateralized by the US consumer until memories fail or the US consumer actually manages to secure decent wages (unlikely for this generation).

There is more and more alarm at US (& UK) economic policies.  Alarm, of course, has a way of turning into stampedes or panics.

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